Joe Kristufek’s Ellis Park picks for Saturday, August 12

Joe Kristufek is Ellis Park’s paddock analyst and morning-line odds-maker. Coady Photography

Selections provided by Ellis Park morning-line odds maker Joe Kristufek, who has an extensive background in the horse racing industry as an analyst, on-air talent and producer and fan development specialist. He is well recognized for his diverse handicapping skills and suggested wagering tactics and he loves interacting with racing fans. Follow on Twitter @JoeyDaKRacing   

Printable PDF of Joe’s picks for Saturday, August 12

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Selections subject to change due to scratches. Check program numbers for accuracy.

Saturday, August 12, 2017

Race 1

#3 Reward’s Girl – Takes big drop off clunker; looks best of slow bunch.

#2 Glistening Star – Big 2nd on dirt two back; may appreciate added distance.

#4 Indy’s Finesse – Drops to lowest level; turf to dirt, should finish with some punch.

#6 Say When Club – Distant 2nd with first blinkers last out; gimmick player here.

Joe’s SELECTIONS – 3-2/4-6-1

Race 2

#6 Natchez Pass – Just missed last try on dirt; gets first run and holds off closers.

#2 Budget Cut – Plenty of chances; in the right spot and can certainly get it done.

#1 Three Natty Patty – Can take a step forward in third race of form cycle.

#5 I Got It – Drops out of it early; finishes willingly to run past tired rivals.

Joe’s SELECTIONS – 6-2/1-5

Race 3

#7 Appealing Way – Tough loss in last; just needs a trip to get the job done today.

#3 Leave It to Marie – Improved with every start; inside post helps cause, main threat.

#6 Shy – Rounding into form; well-timed move puts her in winning position late.

#1 Nautia – Better with blinkers; saves ground and displays finishing punch.

Joe’s SELECTIONS – 7-3/6-1-2-9

Race 4

#2 Nasty Critter – Slow start cost him in debut; offers square price in puzzler.

#6 Dr Spaudling – Drops to lowest level with blinkers on; experience counts.

#1 Red Alert – Must respect the team; horse fits, but tough to be confident.

#4 Stonewall Boy — $14,000 buy debuts for Mr. Brad; fresh face could easily win this.

Joe’s SELECTIONS – 2-6-1-4-7-3-5

Race 5

#10 Star A War – Lone turf run was deceivingly good; edge in crapshoot.

#1 Gray Ransom – Rested off the claim; fits like a glove for smoking hot stable.

#5 Thamaan – 2nd best on the cut back last out at this level; claim as good as any here.

#8 Max Factor – Disappointment with slightly better at Arlington; can’t dismiss.

Joe’s SELECTIONS – 10-1-5-8-2-11

Race 6

#7 Downwind – Bet down in disappointing debut; right to improve for tough team.

#5 Harbor Lights – Dam was graded stakes placed; pedigree says route in future.

#4 Talk Veuve to Me – Sneaky good breeding; likely to fly under the radar.

#6 Jinx Johnson – $10K buy ready off the works for Mr. Brad; keep tabs for later.

Joe’s SELECTIONS – 7-5-4/6-8-2-1-3

Race 7

#9 Distortress – 2nd best to sharp winners in last two; finds clear sailing from outside.

#6 Missseventhirteen – Rounding into form for hot barn; main threat to the top choice.

#8 Spice Drop — $240K buy debuts; well-bred, but might eventually want route.

#10 Pocket of Aces – Decent runs as a 2yo; makes sophomore debut off forward works.

Joe’s SELECTIONS – 9-6/8-10-4-1-7

Race 8

#6 Enrage – Dam was G3 placed, talented & versatile; could be a big day for Brian.

#9 Tiz a Treasure – Dam had promising career cut short; Ingrid sends them ready.

#3 Southern Moon – Bet down in a pair of failed runs; blinkers could unlock ability.

#1 Sultry – Dam won G2 over 10 furlongs on turf; springboard to a route for this gal?

Joe’s SELECTIONS – 6-9-3/1-8-2-4

Race 9

#3 Oh Dear Lord – Just missed two back; troubled trip with tougher in latest try.

#9 I’m With Miller – Broke through with sharp maiden turf score in last; can repeat.

#5 Jemrose – 2nd best to odds-on winner last out at this level; fits like a glove here.

#4 Merry Memories – On the improve; major threat with well-timed move.

Joe’s SELECTIONS – 3-9-5-4-1/2-8-6