Ellis Starr's Picks
Sunday July 31, 2021


Race 8


Win contenders with minimum (fair) odds for considering win bets:
#6 Fabricate – minimum win betting odds 5 to 2
#5 Off We Go – minimum win betting odds 5 to 2


Exactas:
Box 5, 6


Fabricate runs first off the claim by Cano and even though the horse was previously in the top barn of Brad
Cox I expect her to run as well or better than she did in three of her last four races in similar sprints. The best
of those was a seven length win in January when earning career start #2 and that win came without blinkers,
which come off after two races for her previous trainer with the equipment on. That could make a world of
difference here, as well as Cano is very sharp with this move of claiming a horse and cutting it back from a mile
or more to a shorter race, with three wins form 10 similar moves and those horses going to post at odds of 5 to
1, 9 to 1 and 30 to 1.


Off We Go enters the race second off a claim as opposed to first off the claim like Fabricate and her only start
for her new trainer (Garcia) was a big effort when missing by a nose on the wire. She gets apprentice Diaz who
has a few wins at the meeting and she could be the one the race may have to catch to win.

 

 

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