Ellis Starr's Picks

Friday, August 26, 2022

Race 8

Win contenders with minimum (fair) odds for considering win bets:
#8 Atras – minimum win betting odds 2 to 1
#7 Britain’s Kitten – minimum win betting odds 7 to 2
#3 American Mayhem – minimum win betting odds 7 to 2

Exactas: Box 8,7 Box 8,3

Atras stretches out to a two-turn race on turf for the first time, after running six times in turf sprints in his eight
race career. The best of those was one before last in April in a tough 10 horse field at Keeneland when he
rallied from fifth to win going away by a couple of lengths. He took two and one-half months off after that and
moved to the Cox barn then shipped to New York where he pressed the pace in third and second early before
tiring to eighth. These allowance types are much easier and he’s bred to adore the two-turn trip on turf on both
sides of his pedigree, particularly as the dam has produced a multiple turf route winner. Best of all he gets
pace to chase with Seize the Treasure and Words of Wisdom likely to go too fast early, and he also takes a
hidden drop in class from three year olds and upward to just three year olds.

Britain’s Kitten routed just once on turf this year, missing by a nose in May. He was entered to run on turf
twice since and stayed in the race when moved to ride but those are a big irrelevant. He finished third at this
level on dirt at a mile over the track three weeks ago and can run well back on the grass. American Mayhem
tried two turns and turf for the first time last month and broke his maiden with an impressive rally from11th of
12 after being bumped at the start. These are much tougher but he could run as well with the experience of a
race on the course under his belt.




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