Sunday, August 23, 2020
Race 4
#7 Mast Cove – minimum win betting odds 3/1
#2 Dichotomy – minimum win betting odds 3/1
#8 Proudly Fought – minimum win betting odds 9/2
#5 Miss Pinkerton – minimum win betting odds 6/1
Exactas:
2,7 over 2,5,7,8
Box 2,5,7,8
#7 - Mast Cove
Mast Cove has the most career wins (4) on grass of any horse in the field including at this abbreviated trip last spring and summer. She hadn’t won since December until romping in her last start on 6/24 by nine lengths and how that she’s back in top form moving to the turf and running as well shouldn’t be a problem. It’s a good sign Graham gets on and her last race 79 Equibase figure is the second best last race figure in the field. The best last race figure (80) in the field belongs to Que Sera Sera, who, along with Shape of You, Love My Honey and Now That’s a Benny, all being need-the-lead types, should battle on a significantly above average early pace and tire so set up a stalker just like Mast Cove.
#2 - Dichotomy
Dichotomy should also benefit nicely from the hot early pace. She enters the race off a win at this distance on the Ellis Park turf last month. Although in a new trainer’s care via a claim, jockey Morales rides back and the 78 figure fits well for another big effort for a filly with a strong 5 for 15 career record.
#8 - Proudly Fought
Proudly Fought finished second to Now That’s a Benny last month when that one coasted on an easy lead from the start which is unlikely to occur today. Proudly Fought was making her turf debut last month and should be stronger in her second start on the surface not to mention the early leader(s) will be much easier to run down late than in her last start.
#5 - Miss Pinkerton
Miss Pinkerton has an outside shot and as she opens at 15/1 should be considered. She won three races in a row at short sprint distances on turf last spring and summer then was away from the races for nine months, returning in June. Her comeback was on dirt then she improved two later to finish fourth in the same race Dichotomy won so she could get into the exacta at the least with just a bit of improvement off that effort.
Ellis Starr
Ellis Starr, a.k.a. “Ubercapper,” has been a racing fan for 50 years and understands all aspects of handicapping as well as betting. More than 25 years ago, Ellis was one of the first handicappers to publish his selections on the Internet and to share his knowledge on a daily basis.
Ellis is the National Racing Analyst for Equibase, the Thoroughbred industry’s official source for Racing Information, writing a widely distributed “Race of the Week” story analyzing top races in North America, which also appears on the web site America’s Best Racing. Ellis also publishes insights, analysis and selections for other races around the country as blogs and as a podcast which may be found at Amwager and Keeneland Select, as well as via twitter @ubercapper and on the web sites of top racetracks such as Del Mar, Ellis Park, Keeneland, Santa Anita and Woodbine.
Ellis also participates in handicapping tournaments, winning the Belmont Shootout a few years back and the National Handicapping Championship Charity Challenge in 2017. He is among the few that participate annually in the Keeneland Tournament of Champions.