Ellis Starr's Picks

August 19, 2022

Race 7

Win contenders with minimum (fair) odds for considering win bets:
#4 Bitty Boss – minimum win betting odds 2 to 1
#2 The Club – minimum win betting odds 3 to 1

Bitty Boss has a big edge in this field as one of only a few horses among the nine entered who are not proven
as only need-the-lead types. Starting with My My Munny (on the rail), Quick Munny, Broadway Blaze, Stella
Teresa and Hope and Dreams all have won ONLY leading from start to finish. It’s going to only take two or
three of those to battle on faster than average early fractions to set up Bitty Boss and her late kick, just as
occurred in her last start on June 22 when she rallied from 10 th to 12 to win going away by three lengths, then
was flattered when the runner-up came right back to win. As a last out maiden special weight winner she’s a
perfect fit at this first allowance condition as well.

The Club showed a lot of promise early in her career last spring and summer when finishing in the money in
three straight on the tough NYRA circuit, including a win at Saratoga at this distance on grass when rallying
from third. She was overmatched in a pair of stakes after that, took five months off, and stayed in a couple of
races scheduled for turf but run on dirt this June and July. Last time out just 13 days ago she ran a mile on
grass which is farther than she wants to run but I suspect it was with a turf sprint in mind so as she cuts back in
distance and gets a jockey change to Bejarano this filly could be the other main contender for all the marbles
as she closes into some tiring pacesetters and pressers.




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